A few days ago, I chatted with a senior person in the automobile industry. He told me very seriously that it was best not to buy "pure electric cars" in the past two years. At first glance, this is very harsh, because I’m going to buy a pure tram. Is he kidding me on purpose?Moreover, the current pure electric vehicle market is developing in full swing, and major manufacturers such as Xiaomi and Huawei have entered the market one after another. Their new models are not only affordable, but also have outstanding performance.
But on second thought, after all, people are experts in the industry and will certainly not talk nonsense. Next, he gave me an analysis and told me three reasons that were very heartfelt.1. The development speed of pure electric technology is beyond our imagination.In the past two years, the technological progress of pure electric vehicles has changed with each passing day. Such as BYD’sEye of the godSmart driving, Tesla’s FSD, and Lectra’s digital chassis, these technologies that sound tall, will become commonplace in the near future.
Take smart driving as an example. Now, the 100,000-level Baojunyue has also started to be equipped with NOA and automatic parking functions in urban areas. And those more than 200 thousand models, such as Han EV and Tang EV, are somewhat backward in comparison. It’s like spending a lot of money on a full-featured smartphone, only to find that the children in the neighborhood are having fun with a more full-featured and lower-priced mobile phone.
And charging technology. 800V charging technology will soon become the new standard, which will greatly shorten the charging time. Take Model 3 as an example. It takes 30 minutes to charge 80% for 400V at the earliest, while it takes only 15 minutes for 800V Xiaomi SU7. It’s like, you are in a hurry to go out, only to find that the battery of your mobile phone is insufficient, and 800V technology is like putting a super fast charge on your mobile phone, so that you can leave quickly with full charge.
2. The price of pure electric vehicles is dropping at an alarming rate.There are many 100,000-class pure electric vehicles on the market now, but with the progress of technology and the intensification of market competition, you may buy better models at lower prices in the future. BYD’s Ocean-M is an example. It is equipped with all-in-one intelligent electric drive and iTAC intelligent torque control technology, and the carbon fiber kit of the whole vehicle takes only 3 seconds to accelerate. This is a far cry from the previous models of more than 100,000.
Moreover, not only BYD, but also brands such as Tesla, Weilai and Tucki are actively deploying and launching more cost-effective models. It is foreseeable that next year, you may be able to enjoy the same driving experience as this year’s more than 200,000 models at a lower price.3. Solid-state battery technology will be mass-produced soon.Once this technology is mass-produced, it will completely solve the endurance anxiety of pure electric vehicles. Ou Yangming Gao, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, predicted that the scale industrialization of solid-state batteries will take 3-5 years, and mass production will be realized by 2030, and the cost will also be greatly reduced. This means that in the future, models equipped with solid-state batteries will not only have a longer battery life, but also have a lower price, or as low as 0.4 yuan per watt hour, while the price of lithium batteries will be as high as 0.74 yuan per watt hour.
Not only that, but now semi-solid batteries have been mass-produced, such as Zhiji L6 top-mounted battery and Weilai 150-degree semi-solid battery, and their battery life has reached 1000 kilometers. With the popularization of these technologies, the price of lithium batteries will also drop.
In a word, this year and next are not the best time to buy pure electric vehicles. At present, the pure electric vehicle market is in a period of rapid change, just like a mobile phone. If you buy it today, it may be out of date tomorrow. If you are not in urgent need of a new car, it is undoubtedly a wiser choice to start when the technology is mature and the price is lower.